[PRCo] Re: Unemployment

[Schneider Fred]

Always rises in the winter if data are published on an unadjusted  
basis.   Seasonally adjusted data should show absolutely no change  
from month to month unless there are non cyclical changes affecting it.

On Feb 13, 2009, at 2:54 PM, Phillip Clark Campbell wrote:

>>> From: pcc_sr at yahoo.com Subject:
>
> http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28623262/
>
>>> Adams County ID: "Gardner says unemployment always rises
>>> during the winter, but 17.5 percent is unprecedented."
>
> _________________________________________________________________
>> To: <pittsburgh-railways at dementia.org>
>> Subject: [PRCo] Re: Unemployment
>> From: John Swindler <j_swindler at hotmail.com>
>
>> Another msnbc article without any analysis.
>> Did a plant close?  Is this a farming community??
>> Where are people employed in this town/county?
>
> _________________________________________________________________
>
> Mr.Swindler;
>
>
> Clearing out my mailboxes and found this one;
> my apologies for being so late in responding.
>
> I stumbled across this 'news' by accident;  I was not looking for  
> such articles.
> Adams is literally in the 'sticks' isn't it thus the media is not  
> going to make
> in depth reports unless it sees '$$$' and // or sensationalism and  
> thus
> attention for its services.  If this 17.5% unemployment were in  
> Philadelphia
> Podunk Iowa would not hear the end of it would they.
>
> When one visits the doctor for an 'apparent' infection which would  
> 'possibly' need
> antibiotics the doctor will perform a number of procedures which  
> may seem
> totally useless but are part of the overall picture -- pulse, blood  
> pressure, etc.
>
> News does not carry the urgency of health does it so getting the  
> 'pulse' of a location  --
> '17.5% unemployment "unprecedented"'  may be all that is  
> forthcoming.  The
> unemployed only care that they are out of work and want a job.  If  
> we get more
> information - fine - but this endless slicing and dicing everything  
> that comes across
> the desk can be making a problem where one doesn't exist.
>
>
>
> Phil
>
>
>
>
>
>